I feel like I’ve written something a lot this article many times before. I probably have. Either way, it doesn’t make what I’m about to write any less true.
In the wake of Nigel Farage no longer doing his LBC gig and his subsequent announcement that he is relaunching the Brexit Party, possibly under the guise of the Reform Party, a lot of those who do not like Farage are steaming in to call time on his relevance. This reminds me a lot of when Boris Johnson stepped down as Foreign Secretary and there were all sorts of obituaries on his political career. Needless to say how that turned out in the end.
This talk of Farage being finished is extremely premature. Every single way the next year plays out gives Farage an opening to come back politically. Boris panics and asks for an extension of the transition period at the last second – Brexit betrayed, Farage gets to be the hero to the Brexity nation. Boris plows ahead with the December 31st deadline for a deal but realises in the latter half of this year that his options have narrowed cataclymiscally. He gives in to the EU on an arrangement that will keep the UK wedded to EU laws for the foreseeable future – Brexit betrayed, Farage gets to be the hero to the Brexity nation. Boris goes nuclear and we have no deal – Farage gets to tell everyone that the fallout is all Johnson’s fault; that his ineptitude is why Brexit has flopped.
There is a thought amongst liberal Remainer metropolitan types that Boris is loved by the Brexiteers. You are living in 2019, people. Since then, he’s instituted lockdown, which they hate/think is a globalist conspiracy, have huge doubts about BoJo on immigration (again, mostly successfully stirred by one Nigel Farage) and are waiting for him to deliver on Brexit in a way where expectations will never meet reality. Brexit is heaven and no actual interpretation of it will ever match the fantasy. This has always been the ditch Boris is driving toward, whether he knows it or not.
The only way Boris can politically kill Farage for good is if he goes for no deal Brexit and against all expectations it is a roaring success. That’s it. Otherwise, it is very likely that Farage relaunches this party, it scoops 7-10% out of the Tories’ poll rating and then it’s only a matter of time until Johnson is politically finished. Yes, people have prematurely written Boris off in the past, far too prematurely, as they have done with Farage. That was before Boris was prime minister; the ways to escape his current predicament rely on a massive amount of luck. Bank on Farage coming back instead, whatever you think of such an outcome. I hope I’m wrong and that Farage really is finished. But something in my gut tells me this isn’t the case.
I have a new book out now. It’s called “Politics is Murder” and follows the tale of a woman named Charlotte working at a failing think tank who has got ahead in her career in a novel way – she is a serial killer. One day, the police turn up at her door and tell her she is a suspect in a murder – only thing is, it is one she had nothing to do with. The plot takes in Conservative Party conference, a plot against the Foreign Secretary and some gangsters while Charlotte tries to find out who is trying to frame her for a murder she didn’t commit.
It’s available here: